ikr5

Culture 67% +$719 $380 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	60¢	100¢	+$196	win

Crypto 100% +$154 $181 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?	No	40¢	100¢	+$150	win

Other 50% +$78 $1,114 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	54¢	54¢	$-2	loss
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?	No	72¢	100¢	+$147	win
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?	No	56¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Tech 50% $-133 $546 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-200	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-352 $2,872 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	90¢	94¢	+$24	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?	No	97¢	100¢	$-74	loss
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-276	loss
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?	No	76¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?	No	57¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Politics 25% $-505 $649 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?	No	88¢	0¢	$-172	loss
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?	No	75¢	0¢	$-245	loss
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?	No	53¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$12	win