Win rate
38.5%
10 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-10,127
realized $-28,080 · unrealized $17,953
Portfolio
$17,953
volume $407,247
Predictions
26
0.1/day · avg $15,663
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 67% +$2,248
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
Other 50% +$903
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$483 | win |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-2,292 | loss |
| Will The MongolZ win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-368 | loss |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$4,300 | win |
| Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
Tech 100% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$13 | win |
Esports 0% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | Spirit | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Politics 0% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Economy 0% $-1,880
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1,298 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-582 | loss |
Crypto 30% $-15,270
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | No | 55¢ | 14¢ | $-1,268 | loss |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 54¢ | 36¢ | $-35 | loss |
| USDT depeg in 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | loss |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Recent Trades (26)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | Spirit | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 53.7¢ | 36¢ | $-35 | $107 | 01/02/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,298 | $5,843 | 28/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$672 | $528 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2,292 | $5,664 | 01/01/2026 |
| USDT depeg in 2025? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $172 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,481 | $1,557 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 71.2¢ | 44¢ | $-11,910 | $31,981 | 31/12/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-582 | $2,350 | 10/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $6,619 | 15/11/2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,452 | $4,166 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $1,161 | 04/11/2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | $210 | 04/11/2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 25/10/2024 |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | $220 | 25/10/2024 |
| Will The MongolZ win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-368 | $368 | 20/10/2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $2,157 | 18/10/2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,470 | 18/10/2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 20/07/2024 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,300 | $700 | 01/01/1970 |
| Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $2,358 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | No | 65.5¢ | 32¢ | $-1,826 | $3,597 | 01/07/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | No | 55.0¢ | 14¢ | $-1,268 | $1,697 | 01/07/2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 71.4¢ | 73¢ | +$13 | $791 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$483 | $22,864 | 01/01/2027 |