pp155

Weather 35% +$114 $7,887 vol · 231 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	82¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 11?	No	67¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 10?	No	83¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 10?	No	62¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 10?	No	68¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?	No	92¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?	No	62¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or below on April 10?	No	84¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?	No	82¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?	No	59¢	100¢	+$0	—

Mentions 100% +$1 $231 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	No	55¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	No	77¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	No	61¢	100¢	+$0	—

Crypto 0% +$0 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?	No	81¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 50% $-2 $149 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	49¢	48¢	+$0	win
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	25¢	0¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 0% $-14 $156 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	81¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	76¢	84¢	$-6	loss
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	23¢	2¢	$-8	loss
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	9¢	0¢	+$0	—

Sports 0% $-19 $1,882 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	57¢	54¢	$-9	loss
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	28¢	30¢	+$0	—
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	77¢	79¢	$-1	loss
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	26¢	28¢	$-1	loss
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	78¢	79¢	$-1	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?	No	86¢	100¢	+$0	—

Finance 0% $-67 $198 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	99¢	$-15	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	54¢	60¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?	No	69¢	45¢	+$0	—

Economy 27% $-131 $1,531 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	17¢	20¢	+$0	—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	98¢	$-135	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	23¢	1¢	$-20	loss
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	98¢	$-49	loss
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	No	32¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	No	99¢	99¢	$-10	loss

Tech 33% $-146 $729 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	89¢	90¢	$-19	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	97¢	96¢	$-78	loss
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	$-32	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	4¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?	No	59¢	100¢	+$0	—

Politics 14% $-230 $689 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	43¢	52¢	+$0	—
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	88¢	88¢	$-16	loss
Will Dathan Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	99¢	99¢	$-49	loss
Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?	No	99¢	99¢	$-16	loss
Will Don Primus be the Democratic Nominee for IA-02?	No	99¢	98¢	$-17	loss
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	19¢	15¢	$-1	loss
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	No	99¢	99¢	$-13	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—

Elections 10% $-450 $3,021 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	88¢	88¢	$-8	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?	No	85¢	82¢	$-11	loss
Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat?	No	94¢	95¢	$-18	loss
Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?	No	95¢	94¢	$-37	loss
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	93¢	92¢	$-5	loss
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	96¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	98¢	98¢	$-22	loss
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	95¢	95¢	$-38	loss
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	13¢	12¢	$-4	loss
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	No	96¢	95¢	$-17	loss

Other 8% $-465 $2,597 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	66¢	66¢	+$0	—
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	90¢	90¢	$-10	loss
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No	98¢	97¢	$-19	loss
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	$-14	loss
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	96¢	96¢	$-27	loss
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	98¢	98¢	$-12	loss
Will Anthony Jones win Top Chef Season 23?	No	99¢	89¢	$-3	loss
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	$-11	loss
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?	No	96¢	95¢	$-31	loss