Skovorodnikov

Mentions 78% +$1,908 $103,259 vol · 125 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?	No	71¢	100¢	+$145	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	83¢	100¢	$-63	loss
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?	No	93¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?	No	45¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?	No	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$15	win

Esports 75% +$1,821 $51,378 vol · 270 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	89¢	100¢	+$48	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	72¢	100¢	+$42	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	87¢	100¢	+$16	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	G2	70¢	100¢	+$15	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	58¢	100¢	+$26	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	94¢	100¢	+$31	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	82¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	82¢	0¢	$-165	loss

Other 66% +$1,338 $51,853 vol · 136 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	82¢	98¢	+$10	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	52¢	40¢	$-6	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	73¢	92¢	$-6	loss
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	80¢	94¢	+$145	win
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	87¢	89¢	+$5	win
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	92¢	97¢	+$6	win
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?	Yes	52¢	58¢	$-19	loss
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?	No	94¢	89¢	$-20	loss
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 19, 2026?	No	91¢	89¢	$-4	loss
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	75¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Tech 100% +$560 $1,918 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$267	win

Politics 75% +$219 $6,430 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	94¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?	No	75¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$29	win
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?	No	92¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Weather 0% $-6 $535 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	89¢	90¢	$-6	loss

Sports 75% $-204 $3,903 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?	No	40¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?	No	83¢	0¢	$-343	loss

Geopolitics 75% $-2,908 $171,249 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	86¢	0¢	$-8,156	loss
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?	No	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	54¢	30¢	$-175	loss
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	73¢	92¢	+$0	—
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	88¢	0¢	$-702	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	75¢	94¢	$-65	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	37¢	0¢	$-751	loss
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 15, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Russia enter Borova by December 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?	No	50¢	100¢	+$7	win

Crypto 58% $-3,685 $139,669 vol · 217 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$96	win
Will Solana dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	No	30¢	1¢	$-52	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	66¢	45¢	$-133	loss
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	86¢	44¢	$-93	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	55¢	50¢	$-11	loss
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-394	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-117	loss
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-325	loss