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0x168E4Ae7B2Bd364379331749C94CA89CD6b1F134-1767886895575
0x168e4ae7b2bd364379331749c94ca89cd6b1f134 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
52.2%
12 W / 11 L
Total PnL
$152
realized $-456 · unrealized $608
Portfolio
$608
volume $103,434
Predictions
119
1.3/day · avg $869
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 58% +$315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 60¢ | +$186 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 59¢ | 90¢ | +$17 | win |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | No | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | No | 46¢ | 45¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 32¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | No | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Mentions 67% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 38% $-85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 50¢ | 34¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 35¢ | 32¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in January? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Recent Trades (25)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | No | 25.7¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | Yes | 32.4¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 03/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 02/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $79 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in January? | Yes | 83.7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 24.8¢ | 32¢ | +$8 | $30 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | No | 46.4¢ | 45¢ | $-1 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 35.4¢ | 32¢ | $-7 | $65 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | No | 45.6¢ | 48¢ | +$2 | $60 | 31/05/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 59.0¢ | 90¢ | +$17 | $40 | 30/06/2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 70.8¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.4¢ | 60¢ | +$186 | $170 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.0¢ | 20¢ | $-13 | $198 | 31/12/2026 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.6¢ | 99¢ | +$15 | $97 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $104 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 49.9¢ | 34¢ | +$2 | $28 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 31/12/2026 |