Win rate
61.6%
528 W / 329 L
Total PnL
$-3,879
realized $-11,644 · unrealized $7,766
Portfolio
$7,766
volume $419,354
Predictions
1,558
15.6/day · avg $269
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 69% +$10,226
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | No | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 23¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 86¢ | 42¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 58¢ | 58¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | No | 74¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | win |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 | Under | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | Under | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
Finance 90% +$2,100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 29¢ | 8¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Brex IPO before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Bondar | Karolina Muchova | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will GE Vernova say "Administration" during earnings call? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$175 | win |
| Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
Tech 0% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $-35 | loss |
Crypto 71% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 | win |
| Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi | Ethan Quinn | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Austin: Solana Sierra vs Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Grambling State Tigers (W) | Grambling State Tigers | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Grambling State Tigers | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3) | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-264 | loss |
Weather 33% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Tulane Green Wave vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (W) | Tulane Green Wave | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockers | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Geopolitics 57% $-235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Maple Leafs | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Senators vs. Devils | Senators | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs | Nuclear TigeRES | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-298 | loss |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? | No | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 67% $-249
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 52¢ | 95¢ | +$5 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigers | Grambling State Tigers | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Coppin State Eagles vs. Howard Bison | Howard Bison | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-183 | loss |
| Coppin State Eagles vs. North Carolina Central Eagles | North Carolina Central Eagles | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
Esports 41% $-853
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Pigeons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs | Pigeons | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$14 | win |
| Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Pigeons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs | The Last Resort | 69¢ | 50¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage | DashSkins | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs | ex-Zero Tenacity | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Overpeek vs megoshort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs | megoshort | 88¢ | 50¢ | $-192 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs | Alliance | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Crashers vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage | Crashers | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Crashers vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage | R2 Esports Club | 53¢ | 50¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Charrados FC (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage | Charrados FC | 46¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage | Eternal Fire | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Sports 56% $-2,690
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Rockets | 66¢ | 66¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 | Under | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Kraken | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | Over | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | win |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Sabres | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Culture 59% $-2,873
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | No | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
Politics 47% $-8,322
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 39¢ | 44¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 60¢ | 78¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? | Yes | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris | Billy Harris | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Austin Peay Governors vs. Bellarmine Knights | Austin Peay Governors | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-1,938 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-5,944 | loss |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 61.5¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 | Under | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Kraken | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | Over | 62.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | $320 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 62.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Maple Leafs | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Sabres | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $-608 | $608 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 65.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Blues | Wild | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Panthers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $72 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 | Over | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $88 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Jazz | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Kings | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Bulls | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Hurricanes | 52.4¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 71.1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | $-491 | $491 | 13/04/2026 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 | Under | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $675 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $239 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 46.6¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $121 | 12/04/2026 |
| Senators vs. Devils | Senators | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Bucks | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Wizards | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 59.1¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $77 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pacers | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Knicks | 44.2¢ | 0¢ | $-265 | $265 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-714 | $719 | 12/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Blackhawks | Blues | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $143 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $61 | 11/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Mavericks | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 11/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Thunder | 39.3¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $208 | 11/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | Under | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 11/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Predators | Wild | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 11/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | Under | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $156 | 11/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Oilers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Pistons | 38.2¢ | 100¢ | +$340 | $210 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | 76ers | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | $1,162 | 10/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5 | Under | 59.1¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $83 | 10/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Knicks | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 31.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $31 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Celtics | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $87 | 10/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Pelicans | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $32 | 10/04/2026 |