Win rate
70.1%
54 W / 23 L
Total PnL
$-975
realized $-1,791 · unrealized $817
Portfolio
$817
volume $25,782
Predictions
87
0.8/day · avg $296
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$127
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Down | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | win |
Elections 67% +$108
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 87¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$33 | win |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | No | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Politics 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Sports 67% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Other 68% $-731
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 60¢ | 98¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will PSV win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Down | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | $596 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70.8¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | $272 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 98¢ | +$63 | $297 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 74.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $100 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | $100 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $493 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-545 | $545 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $94 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | $127 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $100 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 69.2¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $100 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $100 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $100 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 80.7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | $280 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $200 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $100 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-02-14? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $100 | 14/02/2026 |