Dynamit3

Geopolitics 68% +$869 $23,364 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$558	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	37¢	0¢	$-161	loss
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	$-290	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	70¢	68¢	$-109	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	No	58¢	0¢	$-9	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	52¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Mentions 61% +$643 $26,715 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$22	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$543	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?	Yes	52¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$36	win

Politics 78% +$546 $1,660 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$126	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	12¢	12¢	+$4	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	68¢	100¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	19¢	20¢	+$0	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	24¢	22¢	$-7	loss
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$401	win
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?	No	63¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Crypto 100% +$20 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11PM ET	Down	50¢	100¢	+$20	win

Economy 0% $-9 $35 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	72¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Tech 0% $-19 $79 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-19	loss

Elections 67% $-50 $885 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52¢	55¢	+$27	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	No	32¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-87	loss

Sports 29% $-99 $210 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	9¢	$-2	loss
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$2	win

Other 40% $-643 $8,579 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	53¢	36¢	$-40	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	67¢	64¢	$-26	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	72¢	76¢	$-248	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	39¢	24¢	$-17	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-51	loss
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$24	win
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?	No	62¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$1	win