hollyber

Economy 82% +$48,055 $1,283,052 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$60	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-1,058	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	20¢	0¢	$-1,100	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$13,320	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$230	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$110	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,451	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$32,410	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$60	win

Sports 67% +$29,967 $650,429 vol · 101 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Charles Jourdain	78¢	52¢	$-3,628	loss
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Jamey-Lyn Horth	95¢	0¢	$-8,072	loss
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Melissa Croden	84¢	100¢	+$639	win
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mandel Nallo	45¢	0¢	$-982	loss
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kyler Phillips	30¢	48¢	+$364	win
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Gokhan Saricam	70¢	100¢	+$505	win
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)	Robert Valentin	79¢	100¢	+$115	win
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Carlos Ulberg	39¢	100¢	+$606	win
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	94¢	100¢	+$416	win
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)	Patricio Pitbull	35¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Tech 80% +$1,645 $110,196 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$263	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-441	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$170	win
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$280	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 4?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	No	18¢	0¢	$-351	loss

Crypto 100% +$9 $613 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	42¢	40¢	+$1	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	22¢	19¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win

Finance 0% $-75 $2,264 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	$-14	loss
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-61	loss

Culture 57% $-107 $90,565 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-272	loss
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$135	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?	No	98¢	100¢	+$51	win

Elections 64% $-3,273 $566,198 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	70¢	64¢	$-65	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	27¢	22¢	+$303	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	98¢	78¢	$-1,046	loss
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	20¢	8¢	$-200	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	28¢	11¢	$-104	loss
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	71¢	91¢	+$200	win
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$232	win
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 68% $-8,978 $5,585,154 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	27¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	78¢	100¢	+$128	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1,283	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1,088	loss
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-2,972	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	59¢	84¢	+$52	win

Geopolitics 60% $-26,065 $1,444,072 vol · 140 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$126	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	No	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	44¢	30¢	$-180	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	79¢	81¢	+$554	win
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	90¢	94¢	+$248	win
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	50¢	49¢	$-1	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	70¢	84¢	$-10	loss

Other 58% $-29,524 $2,469,334 vol · 178 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-885	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Han Duck-soo be sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	72¢	86¢	+$20	win
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$525	win
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	34¢	12¢	$-86	loss