Win rate
18.2%
6 W / 27 L
Total PnL
$-1,661
realized $-2,591 · unrealized $930
Portfolio
$930
volume $43,608
Predictions
56
4.0/day · avg $779
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 0% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 62¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 26¢ | 12¢ | $-58 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Down | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
Other 0% $-424
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | 23¢ | 12¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 52¢ | 44¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% $-1,684
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 14¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 25¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 22¢ | 5¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$83 | win |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 3¢ | $-40 | loss |
Recent Trades (33)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Down | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 30.7¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $70 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | No | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | No | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $-317 | $361 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | $684 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 39.4¢ | 7¢ | $-726 | $1,141 | 07/04/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 25.6¢ | 12¢ | $-58 | $113 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 62.0¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | $40 | 21/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 52.4¢ | 44¢ | $-120 | $707 | 30/04/2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 6¢ | $-8 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | No | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $47 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | +$83 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $59 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 69.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 3¢ | $-40 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 1¢ | $-81 | $124 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026? | No | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | $-166 | $220 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026? | No | 81.9¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | $248 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 21.9¢ | 5¢ | $-8 | $100 | 15/05/2026 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | Yes | 12.5¢ | 12¢ | $-2 | $30 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 25¢ | $-63 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | 22.6¢ | 12¢ | $-151 | $461 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 28.2¢ | 14¢ | $-27 | $55 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | $20 | 31/12/2026 |