Win rate
49.2%
613 W / 634 L
Total PnL
$-268,039
realized $-448,390 · unrealized $180,351
Portfolio
$180,351
volume $7,749,682
Predictions
1,460
15.7/day · avg $5,308
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 57% +$5,892
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$862 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 5¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | $-18 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$104 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 7¢ | +$83 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 13¢ | 6¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$152 | win |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 40¢ | $-154 | loss |
Culture 64% +$5,171
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$2,598 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$2,438 | win |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$396 | win |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | win |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-302 | loss |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Economy 67% +$2,305
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
Politics 57% +$68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Yes | 38¢ | 65¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 52¢ | 35¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Trump attend UFC 326? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Finance 33% $-340
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? | No | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$372 | win |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-706 | loss |
Elections 40% $-1,028
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 38¢ | 52¢ | $-56 | loss |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 57¢ | 66¢ | +$133 | win |
Geopolitics 25% $-1,707
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 24¢ | 13¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-1,533 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | win |
| Golden Knights vs. Senators | Golden Knights | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | loss |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Rangers | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
Tech 41% $-24,909
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$115 | win |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 59¢ | 18¢ | $-2,885 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1,640 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-4,460 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-1,793 | loss |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-4,166 | loss |
Other 46% $-54,978
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 30¢ | 28¢ | $-917 | loss |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 92¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$665 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Esports 53% $-74,129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-2,765 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | ARCRED | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$1,926 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-508 | loss |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Misa Esports | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Team WE | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Sports 50% $-125,880
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 92¢ | 70¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 19¢ | 3¢ | $-398 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94¢ | 85¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 78¢ | 77¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$310 | $689 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$747 | $2,838 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $144 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $241 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $92 | 16/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $141 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,765 | $2,790 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Kraken | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | ARCRED | 61.9¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $86 | 16/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,926 | $4,724 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 61.3¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $267 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 57.1¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $108 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $203 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 55.8¢ | 0¢ | $-875 | $886 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-508 | $513 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Ducks | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $69 | 15/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $98 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 39.4¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $65 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $99 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $53 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 63.9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $95 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Misa Esports | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $116 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Islanders | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Team WE | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Suns | 27.8¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Lakers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $167 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $-237 | $242 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 36.8¢ | 0¢ | $-488 | $493 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-606 | $610 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-435 | $438 | 13/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Grizzlies | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $72 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Sentinels | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 62.5¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $108 | 13/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Pelicans | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$308 | $3,043 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$177 | $95 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Team Liquid | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $32 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $93 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $184 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pacers | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $45 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $-5,109 | $5,152 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | $197 | 12/04/2026 |