Win rate
33.3%
5 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$-71
realized $-1,374 · unrealized $1,303
Portfolio
$1,303
volume $103,311
Predictions
30
0.7/day · avg $3,444
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-27? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-27? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 33% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos | Broncos | 61¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bengals vs. Dolphins | Bengals | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 50% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 95¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 28¢ | 27¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 48¢ | 40¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 67% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$1 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-47 | loss |
Recent Trades (32)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 84.7¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $1,303 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $324 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $324 | 28/12/2025 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 28/12/2025 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $295 | 27/12/2025 |
| Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-27? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $294 | 27/12/2025 |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-27? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $294 | 27/12/2025 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $30 | 27/12/2025 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $295 | 27/12/2025 |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos | Broncos | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $306 | 21/12/2025 |
| Bengals vs. Dolphins | Bengals | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $306 | 21/12/2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,496 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,340 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 1¢ | $-47 | $226 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.7¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $294 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,228 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | $37 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | +$1 | $180 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 15¢ | $-4 | $651 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 82.5¢ | 83¢ | +$2 | $1,350 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | $238 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.6¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $295 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.0¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | $1,693 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 40¢ | $-13 | $336 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $23 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.6¢ | 27¢ | $-11 | $621 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $1,224 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 95.9¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $1,254 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $708 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $47 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 95.4¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $30 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,192 | 07/11/2028 |