Win rate
41.9%
13 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-41,251
realized $-45,098 · unrealized $3,846
Portfolio
$3,846
volume $308,310
Predictions
26
0.3/day · avg $11,858
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
Esports 50% +$108
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitality | Team Vitality | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
| League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitality | Team Heretics | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
Culture 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 25% $-9,074
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks vs. Giants | Giants | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-1,507 | loss |
| Brewers vs. Rangers | Brewers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-4,684 | loss |
| Blue Jays vs. Yankees | Blue Jays | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-1,979 | loss |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles | Eagles | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | win |
| Phillies vs. Marlins | Marlins | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-579 | loss |
| Nationals vs. Cubs | Nationals | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-1,020 | loss |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Pirates | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$951 | win |
| Phillies vs. Brewers | Brewers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Other 33% $-15,744
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 87¢ | 78¢ | $-9,804 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$5,116 | win |
| Will Eric Adams drop out first? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Will Eric Adams drop out? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-427 | loss |
| Will Eric Adams drop out? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-1,172 | loss |
| BLAST Open: FaZe vs. G2 | G2 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$519 | win |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
Geopolitics 44% $-20,758
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 68¢ | 18¢ | $-5,826 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-7,957 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
Recent Trades (31)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7,957 | $8,016 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5,116 | $13,346 | 12/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 89.3¢ | 22¢ | $-4,722 | $7,095 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $5,013 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out first? | Yes | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | $-92 | $2,547 | 03/11/2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out? | Yes | 64.8¢ | 100¢ | $-427 | $4,470 | 03/11/2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out? | No | 60.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,172 | $5,058 | 03/11/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | $260 | 31/10/2025 |
| Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $2,223 | 30/09/2025 |
| Diamondbacks vs. Giants | Giants | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,507 | $1,507 | 17/09/2025 |
| Brewers vs. Rangers | Brewers | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4,684 | $4,684 | 16/09/2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. Yankees | Blue Jays | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,979 | $1,979 | 13/09/2025 |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles | Eagles | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | $1,874 | 12/09/2025 |
| Phillies vs. Marlins | Marlins | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-579 | $579 | 12/09/2025 |
| Nationals vs. Cubs | Nationals | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,020 | $1,020 | 12/09/2025 |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Pirates | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$951 | $914 | 11/09/2025 |
| Phillies vs. Brewers | Brewers | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 11/09/2025 |
| BLAST Open: FaZe vs. G2 | G2 | 62.9¢ | 100¢ | +$519 | $879 | 06/09/2025 |
| League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitality | Team Vitality | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $206 | 06/09/2025 |
| League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitality | Team Heretics | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $28 | 06/09/2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday? | No | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $98 | 05/09/2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $78 | 05/09/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,520 | $7,192 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,464 | $7,763 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $2,135 | 01/01/1970 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 80.0¢ | 80¢ | $-9,829 | $27,023 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 67.8¢ | 18¢ | $-5,826 | $9,226 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 87.0¢ | 78¢ | $-9,804 | $25,128 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 72.0¢ | 15¢ | $-5,169 | $7,070 | 15/05/2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 75.0¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | $302 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 84.4¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | $696 | 31/12/2026 |