igotthepapersthatgowithit

Geopolitics 83% +$92 $5,521 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	42¢	70¢	+$9	win
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	82¢	83¢	+$4	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	44¢	70¢	+$0	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	80¢	81¢	+$3	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	86¢	86¢	+$0	win
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	88¢	87¢	$-0	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	89¢	91¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	87¢	94¢	+$3	win

Politics 70% +$73 $4,221 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	2¢	+$0	—
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	82¢	84¢	+$11	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	88¢	90¢	+$2	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	92¢	92¢	+$2	win
Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by December 31, 2026?	No	91¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	87¢	87¢	$-0	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	97¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	76¢	99¢	+$60	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	74¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Other 61% +$58 $7,929 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	92¢	90¢	+$1	win
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	78¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	68¢	85¢	$-1	loss
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	67¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	81¢	76¢	$-8	loss
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$0	win
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	86¢	88¢	$-2	loss
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	95¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	96¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	86¢	94¢	+$4	win

Finance 50% +$16 $739 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$31	win
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	No	99¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 100% +$8 $133 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 50% +$5 $409 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	58¢	92¢	+$5	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Esports 80% +$3 $1,369 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	Vitality	100¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	9z	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	TheMongolz	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 100% +$1 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	67¢	0¢	+$1	win

Tech 100% +$0 $103 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	96¢	97¢	+$0	win

Sports 61% $-1 $2,339 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	95¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?	No	90¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	No	54¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets	Hurricanes	30¢	0¢	+$0	win
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	82¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Culture 71% $-3 $317 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	No	29¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	45¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Elections 60% $-41 $15,095 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	75¢	78¢	+$2	win
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	20¢	22¢	+$2	win
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	75¢	68¢	$-3	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	69¢	34¢	$-7	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	45¢	66¢	+$2	win
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	25¢	0¢	+$1	win

Crypto 51% $-3,577 $107,679 vol · 1044 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	43¢	100¢	+$46	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	57¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	69¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	84¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	40¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	31¢	100¢	+$70	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	55¢	100¢	+$30	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	59¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	63¢	100¢	+$47	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	55¢	100¢	+$44	win