GingerPhil

Crypto 67% +$691 $18,140 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	84¢	86¢	+$270	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$91	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	72¢	0¢	$-866	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	56¢	100¢	+$239	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	38¢	100¢	+$145	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	65¢	100¢	+$133	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	44¢	100¢	+$129	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	75¢	100¢	+$128	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	50¢	100¢	+$98	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	81¢	100¢	+$93	win

Sports 86% +$434 $7,039 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$362	win
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	84¢	100¢	+$272	win
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	90¢	100¢	+$105	win
Will Slovakia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	72¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-603	loss
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?	No	73¢	100¢	+$131	win
Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Darts Championship?	No	89¢	100¢	+$30	win
Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies	Diamondbacks	78¢	100¢	+$25	win
Astros vs. Angels	Astros	93¢	100¢	+$12	win

Economy 100% +$58 $284 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$58	win

Tech 100% +$52 $634 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	89¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 50% +$43 $1,593 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?	No	79¢	100¢	$-80	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-6	loss

Culture 100% +$23 $235 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$23	win

Other 56% $-1,510 $9,166 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	64¢	78¢	+$139	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	52¢	56¢	+$92	win
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	96¢	95¢	$-7	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	78¢	78¢	$-8	loss
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	No	85¢	0¢	$-309	loss
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$10	win
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Wright State Raiders	Wright State Raiders	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Stetson Hatters vs. North Alabama Lions	North Alabama Lions	91¢	0¢	$-581	loss
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?	No	26¢	0¢	$-200	loss

Geopolitics 71% $-1,792 $5,102 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	84¢	0¢	$-1,500	loss
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?	No	62¢	100¢	+$76	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	38¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	No	46¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	No	67¢	0¢	$-283	loss
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?	No	57¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?	No	60¢	100¢	+$12	win
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	66¢	100¢	+$121	win
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?	Yes	72¢	0¢	+$5	win

Elections 54% $-1,982 $23,569 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	19¢	17¢	+$54	win
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	93¢	94¢	+$11	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	45¢	34¢	+$0	—
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	44¢	39¢	$-46	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	73¢	66¢	+$0	win
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	79¢	100¢	$-80	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	88¢	76¢	$-162	loss
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	No	58¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	22¢	16¢	$-236	loss