0x1246...9fbd

Politics 86% +$206 $2,674 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$16	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	94¢	100¢	+$47	win

Sports 100% +$189 $689 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kraken vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	69¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	80¢	100¢	+$8	win
76ers vs. Spurs	Spurs	79¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	84¢	100¢	+$43	win
Cavaliers vs. Warriors	Cavaliers	81¢	100¢	+$10	win
Hawks vs. Nets	Hawks	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Spurs vs. Warriors	Spurs	89¢	100¢	+$6	win
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	94¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 75% +$129 $2,227 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	70¢	62¢	$-2	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	87¢	90¢	$-36	loss
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	91¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	No	84¢	89¢	+$12	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	83¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?	No	78¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	85¢	84¢	$-6	loss

Weather 100% +$6 $196 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 11?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on April 11?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 10?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 6?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 52% $-269 $2,119 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	89¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	85¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	85¢	74¢	$-16	loss
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	Yes	86¢	85¢	$-2	loss
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?	Yes	89¢	82¢	$-12	loss
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?	No	94¢	93¢	$-1	loss
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)	Como 1907	95¢	92¢	$-4	loss
Will Prodzy win the Legend Trade Series?	No	90¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Liverpool FC	92¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$18	win

Geopolitics 82% $-496 $3,023 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	92¢	99¢	+$13	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	No	48¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	80¢	96¢	+$2	win
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	91¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	74¢	92¢	$-50	loss
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?	No	81¢	98¢	+$28	win