rivermarkets

Sports 59% +$58,952 $742,217 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9¢	9¢	$-1	loss
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	88¢	91¢	+$530	win
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	92¢	88¢	$-13	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	7¢	5¢	$-19	loss
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	96¢	100¢	$-617	loss
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$11	win
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	88¢	98¢	+$2,404	win
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	13¢	2¢	$-1,800	loss
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	87¢	100¢	$-101	loss

Politics 69% +$11,395 $23,706 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$11,285	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	65¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	20¢	11¢	+$4	win
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	87¢	89¢	+$2	win
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	68¢	72¢	+$3	win
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	89¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	40¢	40¢	+$0	win
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	60¢	60¢	+$1	win
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-2	loss
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	11¢	100¢	+$971	win

Elections 58% +$312 $45,317 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	29¢	0¢	+$33	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$3,561	win
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$121	win
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	41¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	54¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	44¢	0¢	+$14	win

Culture 54% $-2,545 $24,270 vol · 74 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	98¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$494	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	50¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	2¢	0¢	+$291	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$88	win
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	84¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will "War Machine" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Other 50% $-5,379 $157,085 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	74¢	81¢	+$9	win
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	13¢	26¢	+$43	win
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2,070	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	36¢	41¢	+$2,330	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	83¢	59¢	$-84	loss
Will Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	No	86¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	88¢	38¢	$-18	loss
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	No	12¢	0¢	$-232	loss
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 15 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 27% $-35,939 $132,355 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	99¢	+$108	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	4¢	1¢	$-708	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-311	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	6¢	0¢	$-4,193	loss
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	No	5¢	0¢	$-334	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	No	44¢	100¢	+$8,456	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$449	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	1¢	0¢	$-816	loss