SpyVsSpy

Crypto 70% +$2,949 $93,726 vol · 382 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	22¢	60¢	$-8	loss
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	80¢	94¢	+$12	win
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	58¢	36¢	$-37	loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	67¢	100¢	+$422	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	65¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Solana reach $90 in April?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	98¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	93¢	98¢	+$20	win

Other 62% +$393 $30,406 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	Yes	20¢	5¢	$-126	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	Yes	56¢	16¢	$-70	loss
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	Yes	14¢	4¢	$-73	loss
Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	81¢	96¢	+$63	win
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	93¢	93¢	+$0	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	95¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	No	88¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	91¢	91¢	+$0	—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	79¢	64¢	$-46	loss

Finance 20% +$12 $1,250 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	13¢	3¢	$-54	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	36¢	90¢	$-13	loss

Economy 75% $-12 $398 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$8	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$13	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 0% $-51 $200 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	No	62¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	16¢	0¢	$-7	loss

Sports 0% $-60 $60 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Politics 53% $-208 $1,342 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	16¢	10¢	$-23	loss
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	37¢	46¢	+$12	win
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	No	85¢	0¢	$-50	loss
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$31	win
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Trump out as President in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump announce run for 3rd term?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump sue the BBC?	No	75¢	0¢	$-101	loss

Weather 0% $-218 $450 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	61¢	81¢	$-6	loss
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	48¢	19¢	$-213	loss

Tech 56% $-262 $1,877 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	71¢	22¢	$-204	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	94¢	99¢	+$10	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-36	loss
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$4	win

Geopolitics 66% $-701 $17,030 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	58¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	86¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	59¢	94¢	$-5	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$59	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$9	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	46¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	43¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	82¢	94¢	+$29	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	84¢	6¢	$-46	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	91¢	100¢	+$42	win