loxia

Crypto 83% +$790 $14,727 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?	Up	35¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	90¢	100¢	+$68	win
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$21	win
Ethereum Up or Down on November 22?	Up	23¢	0¢	+$5	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?	Down	22¢	100¢	+$35	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?	Down	27¢	100¢	+$225	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?	Up	93¢	0¢	$-84	loss

Economy 75% +$89 $3,595 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$24	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$28	win
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Politics 71% +$23 $1,117 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	84¢	88¢	+$7	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	72¢	99¢	+$13	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	61¢	86¢	+$15	win
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 100% +$2 $1,696 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 33% $-108 $666 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-121	loss

Geopolitics 56% $-181 $3,361 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$63	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	61¢	22¢	$-112	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	50¢	0¢	$-198	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	+$100	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	82¢	92¢	+$10	win
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$6	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	34¢	55¢	+$41	win

Other 76% $-282 $7,802 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	83¢	70¢	$-1	loss
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	91¢	93¢	+$9	win
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$9	win
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	80¢	90¢	+$15	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	67¢	76¢	+$17	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	94¢	99¢	+$14	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	47¢	50¢	+$6	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	No	96¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?	No	92¢	100¢	+$8	win