TheSwedishWolf

Crypto 67% +$211 $868 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Solana reach $210 in August?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Bitcoin above $114K on August 25?	No	42¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Ethereum all time high by August 22?	No	43¢	0¢	+$165	win
Ethereum all time high by August 22?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$17	win

Other 51% +$78 $22,100 vol · 81 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	61¢	78¢	+$6	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?	Yes	61¢	0¢	+$27	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$3	win
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	47¢	0¢	+$12	win
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-68	loss
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$13	win
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	Over	60¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-501	loss
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	90¢	100¢	+$22	win

Culture 0% $-60 $648 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	44¢	100¢	$-53	loss

Elections 29% $-70 $1,675 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	No	49¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	84¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?	No	45¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-66	loss
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	42¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	65¢	100¢	$-52	loss

Sports 33% $-119 $324 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?	No	41¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-122	loss

Mentions 0% $-223 $462 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-163	loss

Economy 40% $-336 $673 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	Yes	55¢	0¢	+$18	win
US recession in 2025?	No	62¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$15	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-290	loss

Politics 43% $-366 $7,815 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	53¢	84¢	$-114	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	33¢	21¢	+$15	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?	No	32¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?	No	87¢	100¢	+$55	win
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$40	win
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$42	win
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?	No	63¢	0¢	+$3	win
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Tech 25% $-409 $567 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	57¢	0¢	$-175	loss
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?	No	21¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?	No	60¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	12¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-2,924 $161,885 vol · 265 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$171	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	36¢	32¢	$-14	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	59¢	100¢	$-1,102	loss
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	36¢	74¢	$-40	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$37	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$16	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	61¢	36¢	+$3	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-18	loss