Win rate
65.4%
140 W / 74 L
Total PnL
$49,010
realized $-2,529 · unrealized $51,539
Portfolio
$51,539
volume $2,257,112
Predictions
281
2.4/day · avg $8,032
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 64% +$16,411
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$6,006 | win |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | Bilibili Gaming | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | JD Gaming | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$2,765 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Gen.G | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | loss |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3,450 | win |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-984 | loss |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | No | 12¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will no leader be out in 2025? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Politics 100% +$13,375
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | win |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$393 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$12,585 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$11,310
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$4 | win |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 9¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$4,274 | win |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 84¢ | 50¢ | +$6 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-449 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3,008 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2,969 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1,348 | win |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | win |
Sports 62% +$4,084
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$257 | win |
| Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | Yes | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$2,412 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 15¢ | 2¢ | $-571 | loss |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | No | 48¢ | 34¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 57¢ | 31¢ | $-788 | loss |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-1,601 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Thunder | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Spurs | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-218 | loss |
Culture 33% +$2,540
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-1,061 | loss |
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Esports 66% +$817
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-168 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | G2 Esports | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | Gen.G | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | G2 Esports | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-2,951 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | T1 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$1,823 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Top Esports | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$707 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Gen.G | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$393 | win |
Crypto 83% +$590
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 85¢ | 51¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1,139 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-737 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Economy 100% +$364
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$294 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Tech 100% +$279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$277 | win |
Elections 75% $-459
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$426 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-915 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $290 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $107 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | $-168 | $290 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner | G2 Esports | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-290 | $290 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 63.1¢ | 100¢ | +$338 | $580 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | $1,468 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | $768 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | G2 Esports | 53.4¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | $156 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | G2 Esports | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $580 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $145 | 21/03/2026 |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | Bilibili Gaming | 49.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $20 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | G2 Esports | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $146 | 21/03/2026 |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | Gen.G | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | JD Gaming | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2,765 | $11,731 | 20/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | G2 Esports | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $800 | 20/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2,951 | $4,581 | 20/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $150 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Gen.G | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $149 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $45 | 01/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 44.9¢ | 0¢ | $-449 | $531 | 28/02/2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $524 | 31/01/2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | $199 | 31/01/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,601 | $1,868 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,061 | $1,061 | 01/01/2026 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3,450 | $199,377 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3,008 | $110,486 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,969 | $51,066 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,348 | $46,120 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,139 | $55,885 | 31/12/2025 |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | $4,727 | 31/12/2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$393 | $2,543 | 31/12/2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | $4,229 | 31/12/2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$176 | $1,083 | 31/12/2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30? | No | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $308 | 31/12/2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $102 | 31/12/2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | No | 12.0¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $60 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025? | Yes | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | 25.5¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | $-737 | $4,155 | 31/12/2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | No | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | $-984 | $638 | 31/12/2025 |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Thunder | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/12/2025 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 19/12/2025 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Spurs | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-218 | $218 | 17/12/2025 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,640 | $40,315 | 11/12/2025 |
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 11/12/2025 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$246 | $666 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 79.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $1,911 | 07/12/2025 |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Grizzlies | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 03/12/2025 |