harlighet

Sports 62% +$37 $4,133 vol · 66 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	97¢	97¢	$-6	loss
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	70¢	69¢	$-3	loss
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	50¢	5¢	+$0	win
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	No	50¢	93¢	+$0	—
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	50¢	4¢	$-9	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	52¢	57¢	+$2	win
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	51¢	42¢	+$9	win
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	43¢	8¢	+$0	—
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	50¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	38¢	46¢	$-0	loss

Economy 67% +$3 $227 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	18¢	8¢	$-2	loss
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	85¢	92¢	+$3	win

Culture 60% +$2 $294 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	74¢	72¢	+$4	win
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	Yes	74¢	73¢	+$1	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	No	45¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	72¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—

Elections 43% $-4 $2,596 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	83¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	34¢	24¢	$-4	loss
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	80¢	78¢	$-6	loss
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	50¢	58¢	$-1	loss
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	50¢	30¢	$-2	loss
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	34¢	30¢	$-1	loss
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	50¢	94¢	+$4	win

Tech 42% $-5 $870 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	50¢	72¢	+$0	win
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	41¢	28¢	$-1	loss
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	42¢	26¢	+$3	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	50¢	71¢	+$2	win
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	45¢	61¢	$-0	loss
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	50¢	74¢	$-4	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	36¢	29¢	$-3	loss
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	50¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Politics 54% $-9 $2,727 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	72¢	79¢	+$3	win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27¢	27¢	+$1	win
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	21¢	$-3	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	16¢	+$4	win
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	45¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	47¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	37¢	28¢	$-0	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	50¢	84¢	$-5	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	49¢	0¢	+$1	win

Crypto 0% $-11 $161 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50¢	52¢	+$0	—
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	48¢	+$0	—
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	37¢	40¢	$-11	loss

Weather 0% $-20 $135 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	50¢	89¢	+$0	—
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	50¢	11¢	+$0	—
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	61¢	64¢	$-1	loss
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	50¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	44¢	20¢	+$-0	—
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 24?	No	12¢	0¢	$-19	loss

Finance 33% $-21 $605 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	38¢	22¢	+$9	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	50¢	50¢	+$0	—
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	No	50¢	50¢	+$0	—
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	60¢	74¢	$-5	loss
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	68¢	78¢	$-18	loss
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	23¢	12¢	$-1	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	50¢	17¢	$-10	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	46¢	83¢	+$4	win

Geopolitics 45% $-35 $5,369 vol · 69 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	47¢	74¢	+$2	win
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	71¢	81¢	$-2	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	35¢	30¢	+$0	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	51¢	26¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	44¢	18¢	+$0	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	49¢	17¢	+$0	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	50¢	31¢	+$0	—
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	50¢	83¢	+$0	—
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	68¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	46¢	19¢	$-8	loss

Other 49% $-90 $12,721 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	30¢	44¢	+$0	win
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	45¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	47¢	32¢	$-0	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	50¢	34¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	50¢	40¢	$-5	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	50¢	66¢	+$0	—
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No	42¢	20¢	+$0	win
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	50¢	80¢	+$0	—
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	52¢	100¢	+$1	win
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	44¢	40¢	+$1	win