0x0eec...e587

Other 29% +$417 $2,444 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	No	60¢	70¢	+$2	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	9¢	34¢	$-1	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	No	5¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	No	7¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	51¢	56¢	$-14	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	39¢	82¢	$-20	loss
GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	95¢	98¢	+$2	win
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	No	93¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	81¢	94¢	+$3	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	46¢	38¢	$-0	loss

Geopolitics 87% +$88 $3,549 vol · 49 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	44¢	76¢	+$0	—
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	35¢	16¢	$-10	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	91¢	97¢	+$2	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	72¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$2	win
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	82¢	97¢	+$4	win
Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	79¢	96¢	+$1	win
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	No	84¢	86¢	+$0	win

Politics 55% +$15 $799 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	90¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	95¢	78¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	48¢	50¢	$-6	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Esports 0% +$0 $210 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Karmine Corp	42¢	0¢	+$0	—

Crypto 33% $-1 $155 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	58¢	62¢	$-1	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	76¢	79¢	$-1	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	92¢	98¢	+$1	win

Tech 25% $-5 $126 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-0	loss
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	No	18¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	1¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Economy 0% $-6 $78 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	4¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Elections 50% $-13 $285 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?	No	12¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Weather 75% $-231 $70,715 vol · 573 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 16?	No	91¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 16?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 15?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 63% $-250 $41,313 vol · 213 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	45¢	28¢	$-11	loss
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	8¢	15¢	+$0	win
Jets vs. Utah	Utah	66¢	100¢	+$100	win
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	82¢	100¢	+$44	win
Magic vs. Bulls	Magic	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Warriors vs. Kings	Warriors	82¢	0¢	$-199	loss
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	Clippers	48¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Raptors vs. Knicks	Knicks	71¢	100¢	+$41	win
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	76¢	100¢	+$32	win
76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	90¢	100¢	+$11	win

Finance 0% $-379 $721 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-320	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	61¢	0¢	$-58	loss

Mentions 56% $-906 $1,826 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	83¢	92¢	+$54	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	97¢	0¢	$-998	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-9	loss