Win rate
90.0%
362 W / 40 L
Total PnL
$-226
realized $-749 · unrealized $523
Portfolio
$523
volume $33,148
Predictions
1,192
37.6/day · avg $28
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$83
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | win |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 4¢ | +$3 | win |
| Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinato | Martin Landaluce | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
Weather 88% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on April 18? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 88¢ | +$42 | win |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asuncion: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Hernando Escurra | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Bondar | Anastasia Zakharova | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harris | Dusan Lajovic | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 91% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
Other 91% $-137
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | No | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$14 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 83¢ | 49¢ | +$2 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 20¢ | 44¢ | +$1 | win |
| Campinas: Johan Nikles vs Gustavo Heide | Gustavo Heide | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Hugo Dellien | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane | Tomas Etcheverry | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 74% $-303
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-524 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | 3DMAX | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | G2 Esports | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | BetBoom Team | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: aimclub vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | FaZe | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 17? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 17? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 17? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 17? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 17? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Johan Nikles vs Gustavo Heide | Gustavo Heide | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 16? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 16? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 16? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 16? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 16? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 16? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Hugo Dellien | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 15? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane | Tomas Etcheverry | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Monza: Andrea Guerrieri vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on April 15? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 15? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Remy Bertola | Raphael Collignon | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 15? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Strong Kirchheimer | Daniil Glinka | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on April 15? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 15? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 15? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 15? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 15? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on April 15? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |