jcharger

Politics 67% +$17,228 $34,232 vol · 516 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	No	72¢	86¢	+$7	win
Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	36¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Trump name "Leavitt" in April?	No	56¢	84¢	+$31	win
Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week?	No	56¢	78¢	+$10	win
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (April 19)	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (April 19)	No	42¢	76¢	+$17	win
Will Trump post "Spain" this week on Truth Social?	No	52¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?	No	31¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12)	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$29	win

Other 69% +$3,891 $16,871 vol · 218 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Aryna Sabalenka win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	81¢	90¢	+$34	win
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	71¢	88¢	+$52	win
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	91¢	98¢	+$7	win
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,215,000 and $1,250,000 on April 30?	No	47¢	95¢	+$26	win
Will the median home value in Chicago be less than $336,000 on April 30?	No	42¢	52¢	+$5	win
Joao Fonseca vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	29¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 10 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 8 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	No	52¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 3 be less than 3,000,000?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 82% +$826 $5,725 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	27¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	91¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?	No	64¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will "Super Bowl" be said at the Grammys?	No	44¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Coinbase say "Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation" during earnings call?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-114	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$185	win

Finance 63% +$377 $3,462 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EA say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during earnings call?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?	No	39¢	100¢	+$123	win
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will DraftKings say "Regulation" during earnings call?	No	6¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Robinhood say "Trading Volume" during earnings call?	No	2¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Uber say "Delivery" during earnings call?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Palantir say "Revenue guidance" during earnings call?	No	7¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will anyone say "AI forecast" during Oracle's 1st Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Announcement?	No	61¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?	No	63¢	0¢	$-95	loss

Tech 62% +$337 $2,222 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?	No	16¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Happy New Year" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	40¢	0¢	$-313	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	73¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?	No	11¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Google say "DeepMind / Deep Mind" during earnings call?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Apple say "Wearable" during earnings call?	No	3¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?	No	40¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Bigger and longer" during earnings call?	No	55¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?	No	60¢	0¢	$-185	loss

Geopolitics 82% +$176 $4,018 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 5m and 5.5m?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Taiwan" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	51¢	100¢	+$33	win
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Powell say "Russia" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will anyone say "Russia" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?	No	7¢	0¢	+$174	win
UK strike on Iran before July?	No	89¢	100¢	+$56	win
US military action against Iran before July?	No	40¢	0¢	+$14	win
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	52¢	100¢	+$10	win
Iranian coup attempt before July?	No	92¢	100¢	+$7	win

Mentions 100% +$15 $99 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	72¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?	No	85¢	100¢	+$6	win

Elections 100% +$8 $91 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 15)	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$6	win

Crypto 100% +$7 $123 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'Luck... or Something' - Hilary Duff debut week album sales be at least 40k?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win

Economy 56% $-90 $575 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	No	65¢	0¢	$-37	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?	No	29¢	100¢	+$77	win
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?	No	14¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Esports 50% $-99 $197 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-102	loss

Culture 44% $-791 $4,971 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?	No	80¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	No	76¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Yes	77¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?	No	1¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?	No	61¢	100¢	+$98	win