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0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403
0x0dccfae62418c61d2f9a642e88df39702d8bd87c · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
86.5%
83 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$11,588
realized $226 · unrealized $11,362
Portfolio
$11,362
volume $648,319
Predictions
84
2.3/day · avg $7,718
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 85% +$6,733
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$686 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 56¢ | 70¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-699 | loss |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 28¢ | +$18 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$90 | win |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$9 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
Elections 100% +$3,081
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 40¢ | 56¢ | +$604 | win |
Other 100% +$1,635
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$457 | win |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$551 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 19¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 50¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | — |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | win |
Culture 100% +$142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | win |
Politics 80% +$100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$584 | win |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $4,999 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $5,737 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,721 | $2,572 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | +$689 | $11,736 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$271 | $3,290 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | No | 36.3¢ | 100¢ | +$563 | $1,027 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | No | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$309 | $886 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$209 | $418 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | +$188 | $710 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | No | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $349 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? | No | 49.4¢ | 0¢ | +$150 | $471 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | $1,330 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $540 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | +$78 | $313 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | Yes | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $380 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $410 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $116 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $356 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 16.3¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $468 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | Yes | 60.5¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $1,777 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $252 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? | No | 66.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $272 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $1,024 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Zarichne by March 31, 2026? | No | 38.8¢ | 0¢ | $-485 | $485 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 52.2¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 3¢ | +$337 | $1,234 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | $71 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 50.0¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $150 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 11.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $110 | 07/03/2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$441 | $3,248 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28? | No | 40.2¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $101 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $70 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $138 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $136 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$491 | $3,578 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026? | No | 67.2¢ | 100¢ | +$246 | $943 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | No | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $405 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 76.3¢ | 100¢ | +$195 | $3,217 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026? | No | 38.4¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $307 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $130 | 31/01/2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | $138 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $158 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $428 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | $233 | 31/01/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $132 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28? | No | 63.6¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $297 | 31/12/2025 |