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0x0DC5A561aF3E3d14BEc8b8fc7ef2C0776252A303-1767933810654
0x0dc5a561af3e3d14bec8b8fc7ef2c0776252a303 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
35.8%
111 W / 199 L
Total PnL
$-14,654
realized $-24,239 · unrealized $9,586
Portfolio
$9,586
volume $1,157,561
Predictions
299
2.1/day · avg $3,871
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 14% +$429
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 46¢ | 14¢ | $-354 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 63¢ | 37¢ | $-673 | loss |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-396 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Nothing Ever Happens: February | Something | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$2,201 | win |
Sports 50% +$405
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Makhmudov | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) | Volkanovski | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | win |
Economy 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Finance 0% $-121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
Politics 29% $-517
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 62¢ | +$265 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Geopolitics 27% $-4,551
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 53¢ | 88¢ | +$128 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 14¢ | $-405 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-707 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 53¢ | 81¢ | +$4,659 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-2,416 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 47¢ | 94¢ | +$885 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$611 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 47¢ | 78¢ | +$40 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | Yes | 43¢ | 23¢ | $-167 | loss |
Crypto 40% $-11,519
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET | Down | 7¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Down | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Down | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 47.9¢ | 9¢ | $-318 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-396 | $400 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 32.6¢ | 0¢ | $-247 | $417 | 15/04/2026 |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Makhmudov | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $157 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | No | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $67 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7,064 | $4,745 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 92¢ | +$688 | $150 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | $210 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 66.2¢ | 9¢ | $-1,404 | $2,525 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 57.5¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | $254 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$518 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-161 | $379 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.9¢ | 100¢ | $-217 | $800 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,657 | $1,997 | 31/03/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | Yes | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-479 | $479 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-340 | $340 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 4? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 14/03/2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Syria in March? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-730 | $729 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,329 | $1,329 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Yes | 30.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2,505 | $2,505 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $24 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Yes | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | $375 | 01/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: February | Something | 19.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2,201 | $530 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $150 | 28/02/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 100¢ | $-72 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7PM ET | Down | 6.6¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | $24 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Down | 30.8¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $72 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 58.3¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | $208 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Up | 39.6¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | $89 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 63.2¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | $230 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Up | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $100 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Down | 41.1¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $90 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $120 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Up | 28.6¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $35 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Down | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $80 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Up | 72.7¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $195 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $80 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $103 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Up | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $72 | 17/02/2026 |