Win rate
69.6%
1383 W / 604 L
Total PnL
$-44
realized $-9,581 · unrealized $9,537
Portfolio
$9,537
volume $2,107,678
Predictions
2,296
5.0/day · avg $918
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 53% +$1,555
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 50¢ | 7¢ | $-432 | loss |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$432 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US bank failure by January 31? | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Esports 67% +$512
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5 | Over | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$520 | win |
| Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2024? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Elections 92% +$395
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | win |
| Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 79% +$261
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 90% +$85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Trump say "abortion" at debate? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times at Wisconsin rally? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Trump posts 40 or more times on X? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Economy 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Tech 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Mentions 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Culture 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Weather 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Sports 61% $-1,232
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) | Thunder | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | Nuggets | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | Lakers | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | Raptors | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) | Pistons | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Spread: Seahawks (-1.5) | Seahawks | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Rams | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | Cavaliers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
Geopolitics 58% $-1,536
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-230 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-297 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-02? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 17? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,000 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,998 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 10? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 10? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,517 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 10? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $2,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 7? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,000 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 2? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 2? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $574 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on April 1? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $559 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on April 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $429 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 30? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,000 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 30? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,900 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 29? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,000 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 29? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $894 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 29? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 29? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $110 | 29/03/2026 |