ChiangWan-an

Other 84% +$1,104 $37,081 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	18¢	32¢	+$26	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	81¢	98¢	+$4	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	66¢	34¢	$-19	loss
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	39¢	46¢	+$88	win
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$27	win
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	15¢	12¢	+$1	win
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	79¢	68¢	$-9	loss

Elections 91% +$280 $6,259 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$33	win
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$11	win

Crypto 79% +$124 $83,367 vol · 540 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	91¢	98¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	61¢	100¢	+$24	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	53¢	100¢	+$23	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	67¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	54¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	72¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	67¢	100¢	+$16	win
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	59¢	100¢	+$16	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	68¢	100¢	+$16	win
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	74¢	100¢	+$15	win

Sports 78% +$40 $854 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$5	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	89¢	99¢	+$7	win
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	81¢	100¢	+$6	win
Spurs vs. Lakers	Spurs	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$42	win
Timberwolves vs. Thunder	Thunder	85¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	65¢	0¢	+$16	win

Economy 100% +$22 $1,321 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	59¢	0¢	+$2	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$12	win

Finance 60% +$4 $786 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	29¢	28¢	+$18	win
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?	Down	95¢	100¢	$-4	loss
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	59¢	26¢	$-67	loss

Mentions 71% $-1 $5,588 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	$-40	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	No	85¢	0¢	$-77	loss

Esports 0% $-30 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)	Kopite	60¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Geopolitics 79% $-98 $8,607 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	65¢	84¢	+$12	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	67¢	32¢	$-11	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	69¢	30¢	$-12	loss
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$9	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	96¢	99¢	+$4	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	88¢	62¢	+$0	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Weather 75% $-136 $1,603 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	94¢	96¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?	No	97¢	100¢	+$30	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-173	loss

Tech 61% $-158 $7,641 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	80¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?	No	83¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 29 above $205?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla reach $503 in December?	No	85¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	33¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-25	loss
GPT ads by December 31?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	$-118	loss

Culture 70% $-902 $3,287 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	58¢	0¢	+$39	win
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	No	84¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-128	loss
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-73	loss

Politics 67% $-1,622 $11,036 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	76¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-2	loss
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	75¢	74¢	$-0	loss
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	96¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	95¢	88¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	84¢	50¢	$-7	loss
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	88¢	98¢	+$6	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	41¢	1¢	$-46	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	62¢	99¢	+$8	win