pb7

Crypto 94% +$12,933 $854,497 vol · 335 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	66¢	90¢	+$177	win
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	81¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	76¢	56¢	$-205	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	+$10	win
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	98¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	No	95¢	93¢	$-4	loss
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 80 by April 30?	No	97¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win

Esports 100% +$2,062 $8,500 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$232	win
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)	T1	82¢	100¢	+$863	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)	Top Esports	71¢	100¢	+$967	win

Economy 86% +$978 $34,644 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-452	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$211	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$551	win

Elections 67% +$67 $57,947 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	10¢	$-13,860	loss
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	90¢	+$13,860	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$67	win

Weather 94% +$41 $36,849 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 96°F or higher on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 100% +$38 $3,769 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	84¢	92¢	+$8	win
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	+$4	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	96¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 100% +$12 $2,755 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) close at 7000+ on April 8?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 57% $-21 $24,177 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	98¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-72	loss
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	93¢	94¢	+$7	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?	No	62¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$0	—

Sports 75% $-26 $390 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Jazz	Warriors	77¢	100¢	+$15	win
Hawks vs. Celtics	Celtics	67¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Nets vs. Suns	Suns	76¢	100¢	+$12	win
Nuggets vs. Wizards	Nuggets	69¢	100¢	+$16	win
Lakers vs. Pelicans	Lakers	67¢	100¢	+$16	win
Hornets vs. Thunder	Thunder	91¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Titans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	86¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	92¢	100¢	+$8	win

Other 91% $-4,262 $86,433 vol · 66 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	98¢	99¢	+$23	win
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	99¢	99¢	+$12	win
Will Chainlink reach $16 in April?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Chainlink dip to $4 in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of March 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win