Win rate
28.3%
26 W / 66 L
Total PnL
$141
realized $-1,144 · unrealized $1,285
Portfolio
$1,285
volume $184,970
Predictions
104
2.1/day · avg $1,779
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 12% +$560
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Clippers | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-744 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Warriors | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Blackhawks vs. Islanders | Islanders | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Thunder | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Utah vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 80% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 0% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Top Esports | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
Other 40% $-284
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | South Florida Bulls | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | loss |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Clippers | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-744 | $744 | 01/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Warriors | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $83 | 24/03/2026 |
| Blackhawks vs. Islanders | Islanders | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 24/03/2026 |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | South Florida Bulls | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | $137 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $198 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,201 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $78 | 14/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Thunder | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $98 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 09/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 08/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $107 | 07/03/2026 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $123 | 04/03/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Top Esports | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $36 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 03/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Wizards | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,351 | $1,105 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 1¢ | $-10 | $160 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $908 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $538 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $712 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $979 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,200 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,032 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $867 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $4,542 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $413 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $914 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $999 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,116 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,138 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,276 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,203 | 20/07/2026 |