0x0cf6...44c1

Elections 57% +$52 $577 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	48¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	51¢	55¢	$-2	loss
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	51¢	56¢	$-5	loss
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	63¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	No	72¢	0¢	+$34	win

Culture 100% +$15 $292 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$6	win

Other 60% $-4 $3,751 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	23¢	12¢	$-12	loss
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	65¢	76¢	$-6	loss
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	25¢	0¢	$-13	loss
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	41¢	45¢	$-1	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	49¢	84¢	+$8	win
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	77¢	95¢	+$6	win
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	87¢	94¢	+$1	win
GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	90¢	98¢	+$7	win
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 63% $-13 $1,054 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	26¢	100¢	+$0	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	33¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	32¢	3¢	$-5	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	69¢	24¢	+$3	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	42¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	76¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	85¢	99¢	+$4	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	83¢	0¢	+$1	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	31¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 25% $-19 $231 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	84¢	80¢	+$1	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	49¢	60¢	$-4	loss

Tech 50% $-25 $52 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	24¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Politics 42% $-39 $677 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	52¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-68	loss