Win rate
71.4%
5 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$54
realized $-1,442 · unrealized $1,496
Portfolio
$1,496
volume $1,612
Predictions
6
1.7/day · avg $269
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 75% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 82¢ | 78¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$27 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Elections 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$12 | win |
Politics 50% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Recent Trades (7)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 77.3¢ | 88¢ | +$27 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $179 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 76.3¢ | 88¢ | +$30 | $200 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 51.1¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | $126 | 30/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 78¢ | $-24 | $499 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 84.2¢ | 90¢ | +$12 | $200 | 07/06/2026 |