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Mentions 89% +$7,400 $1,092,881 vol · 489 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	+$17	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$323	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-41	loss

Geopolitics 77% +$2,561 $146,574 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	77¢	100¢	+$230	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$90	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$377	win
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$-0	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	77¢	100¢	$-159	loss
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$2,879	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	$-2,321	loss

Other 70% +$1,033 $99,204 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?	No	72¢	100¢	+$1,024	win
Will Elon register the America Party in July?	No	86¢	100¢	+$280	win
Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?	No	93¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 18?	No	95¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will the next Pope be from Asia?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-929	loss
Brown University shooter arrested by December 16?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?	No	87¢	100¢	+$65	win
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?	No	93¢	100¢	+$33	win

Crypto 86% +$244 $7,970 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?	No	93¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will another cat memecoin reach $1b first?	No	35¢	100¢	$-29	loss
Will another cat memecoin reach $1b first?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	98¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?	No	95¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?	No	96¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Kamala speak at Bitcoin conference?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin above $60,000 on April 19?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 100% +$93 $1,055 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NVIDIA largest company before June 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$93	win

Economy 100% +$75 $2,367 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	42¢	100¢	+$35	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$14	win
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 June meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$15	win
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 June meeting?	No	2¢	0¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after 2024 May meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 100% +$35 $6,106 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$35	win

Sports 100% +$10 $535 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$10	win

Culture 100% +$3 $997 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Taylor Swift #1 album for 1 week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 41% $-5,382 $118,471 vol · 147 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	69¢	97¢	+$71	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-186	loss
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-173	loss
Other party wins the most seats in next UK election?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-358	loss
Conservatives wins the most seats in next UK election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-218	loss
Will Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah be the next President of Namibia?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$629	win
Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$210	win
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	80¢	100¢	+$400	win

Politics 74% $-10,033 $476,540 vol · 187 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	87¢	90¢	+$14	win
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?	No	88¢	100¢	+$95	win
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$18	win
Trump out as President in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$99	win
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?	No	85¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?	No	80¢	100¢	+$200	win
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Trump nominate Mike Pompeo for Defense Secretary?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-141	loss