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0x0C2c51CD59335D6e5b1aFA6ED865C1E7F352DCe3-1771502209336
0x0c2c51cd59335d6e5b1afa6ed865c1e7f352dce3 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
55.1%
27 W / 22 L
Total PnL
$69
realized $-493 · unrealized $563
Portfolio
$563
volume $13,689
Predictions
225
5.3/day · avg $61
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 54% +$159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 37¢ | 6¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 55¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
Politics 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 55% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 53¢ | 19¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Recent Trades (49)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 62.7¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $81 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | No | 63.8¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 84.9¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 95.1¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 44.6¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 70.7¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 49.9¢ | 7¢ | $-15 | $49 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | No | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $89 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $223 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | No | 59.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | No | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | Yes | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | No | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | Yes | 67.1¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $41 | 07/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? | No | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $115 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $60 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $90 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $31 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $40 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $25 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $30 | 01/01/1970 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | No | 79.8¢ | 90¢ | $-7 | $113 | 30/04/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | No | 78.4¢ | 96¢ | $-37 | $75 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 55¢ | $-6 | $37 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $65 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 53.1¢ | 84¢ | +$52 | $90 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | No | 84.8¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 87.2¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | No | 79.1¢ | 81¢ | $-30 | $163 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 6¢ | $-19 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 19¢ | $-48 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 88.8¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | $40 | 31/12/2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 82.4¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | $33 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $27 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $21 | 31/12/2026 |