Win rate
20.7%
18 W / 69 L
Total PnL
$-2,897
realized $-3,866 · unrealized $969
Portfolio
$969
volume $248,777
Predictions
100
2.2/day · avg $2,488
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 89% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
Elections 0% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-8 | loss |
Other 15% $-352
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5) | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5) | Iowa Hawkeyes | 49¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
Sports 10% $-2,555
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Hornets | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,565 | loss |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Suns | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Oilers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Pelicans | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Stars vs. Canucks | Stars | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Sharks vs. Flames | Sharks | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-1,125 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Hornets | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,565 | $1,565 | 29/03/2026 |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5) | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $199 | 26/03/2026 |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5) | Iowa Hawkeyes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $784 | 26/03/2026 |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $127 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $9,179 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $102 | 14/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Suns | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $119 | 11/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Oilers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $73 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $136 | 09/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Pelicans | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? | No | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $141 | 04/03/2026 |
| Stars vs. Canucks | Stars | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $216 | 03/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $33 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Flames | Sharks | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,125 | $1,125 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $841 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,105 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $243 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,667 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,278 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,731 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $840 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $990 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,032 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,034 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,030 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,058 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,252 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,357 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,629 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $4,774 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $232 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,219 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,426 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,434 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,570 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,660 | 20/07/2026 |