figz

Politics 80% +$836 $10,058 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?	Yes	42¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?	No	56¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?	No	88¢	100¢	+$0	—
Trump and Putin shake hands by October 31?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$8	win
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?	No	82¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?	No	71¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$223	win

Elections 67% +$486 $6,495 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	37¢	0¢	+$104	win
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	96¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	8¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	58¢	0¢	+$31	win
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	34¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Weather 95% +$416 $14,860 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or below on September 4?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?	No	55¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on August 27?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or below on August 23?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on August 22?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on August 21?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on August 20?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or below on August 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on August 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on August 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 74% +$110 $7,098 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI social app in 2025?	No	43¢	0¢	+$26	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	65¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	No	35¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	18¢	0¢	$-25	loss
OpenAI browser by October 31?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-177	loss
OpenAI browser by September 30?	No	68¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$5	win

Geopolitics 61% $-9 $4,277 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	76¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?	No	57¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	67¢	0¢	+$6	win
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?	No	77¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?	No	68¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?	No	44¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Israel military action against Iran in July?	No	86¢	100¢	+$55	win
Houthi strike on Israel before August?	No	77¢	100¢	+$5	win

Sports 71% $-44 $1,688 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$6	win
Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?	No	63¢	0¢	+$24	win
Cubs vs. Blue Jays	Blue Jays	49¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?	No	91¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?	No	29¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $51–55M?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?	No	71¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Economy 0% $-77 $200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Mentions 82% $-92 $4,012 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets on September 6, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?	No	89¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?	Yes	97¢	0¢	$-151	loss
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 330–359 times August 8–August 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 86% $-338 $3,859 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?	No	34¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC by August 31?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before September?	No	81¢	100¢	+$8	win
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 5-11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 29-August 4?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 29-August 4?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?	No	30¢	0¢	$-290	loss

Culture 81% $-690 $28,793 vol · 175 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	No	73¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 52m?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	85¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?	No	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15m and $16m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?	No	92¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	18¢	0¢	$-41	loss

Other 75% $-1,157 $27,559 vol · 156 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?	No	49¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will PewDiePie’s next video get 1.5 million or more views on day 1?	No	93¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50 million views on day 1?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?	No	81¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50 million views on day 1?	No	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?	No	61¢	0¢	$-20	loss