Win rate
44.4%
463 W / 580 L
Total PnL
$-61,516
realized $-86,982 · unrealized $25,465
Portfolio
$25,465
volume $7,304,484
Predictions
1,063
7.7/day · avg $6,872
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/04/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$2,058
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1,958 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-732 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Culture 100% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 35¢ | 50¢ | +$28 | win |
Tech 50% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $185? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-229 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-6,791 | loss |
Finance 33% $-1,282
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? | No | 37¢ | 81¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Fed rate hike in 2024? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-1,204 | loss |
Economy 25% $-4,844
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-513 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-985 | loss |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 45¢ | 56¢ | +$706 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-1,225 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-490 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$625 | win |
| U.S. Recession in 2024? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-1,960 | loss |
| 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-395 | loss |
Politics 16% $-6,534
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 66¢ | 45¢ | $-1,197 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 36¢ | 12¢ | $-2,637 | loss |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-606 | loss |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-1,080 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-1,902 | loss |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Sports 45% $-7,626
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paul | Tommy Paul | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$471 | win |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe | Frances Tiafoe | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$1,104 | win |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | Learner Tien | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-3,029 | loss |
| Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksby | Jenson Brooksby | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5 | Over | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$958 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Thunder | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$960 | win |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) | Raptors | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$924 | win |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Suns | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$294 | win |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Spurs | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
Geopolitics 45% $-18,072
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 46¢ | 76¢ | +$2,346 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$2,098 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | $-694 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 56¢ | 97¢ | +$192 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 3¢ | $-368 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-584 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-6,428 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 4¢ | $-508 | loss |
Crypto 44% $-20,425
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 64¢ | $-512 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$410 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 50¢ | +$906 | win |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | No | 20¢ | 1¢ | $-21 | loss |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 10¢ | $-596 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Up | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-489 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-2,002 | loss |
Other 45% $-52,454
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 79¢ | +$420 | win |
| Will Aster dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$313 | win |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 41¢ | 34¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 51¢ | 56¢ | $-85 | loss |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 53¢ | 23¢ | $-185 | loss |
| US bank failure by December 31? | Yes | 62¢ | 78¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | No | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$148 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? | No | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$56 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gaston | Martin Landaluce | 56.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,999 | $2,600 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$429 | $1,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5 | Over | 57.2¢ | 100¢ | +$358 | $478 | 17/04/2026 |
| Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$339 | $414 | 17/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) | Sinner | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 60.2¢ | 69¢ | +$617 | $4,068 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Zsombor Piros | Alejandro Moro Canas | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $-2,182 | $2,200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,450 | $1,450 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz | Valentin Vacherot | 58.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3,241 | $4,500 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-2,201 | $2,201 | 16/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5) | Alcaraz | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,242 | $1,242 | 16/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5) | Bublik | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,086 | $1,537 | 15/04/2026 |
| Norrie vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 | Over | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$740 | $1,260 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 52.2¢ | 0¢ | $-3,203 | $3,250 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruud | Corentin Moutet | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,970 | $2,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Under | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-979 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic | Marin Cilic | 33.4¢ | 0¢ | $-992 | $1,012 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur | Cameron Norrie | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,183 | $1,200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev | Cristian Garin | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-323 | $330 | 15/04/2026 |
| Fonseca vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5 | Over | 51.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,871 | $2,000 | 14/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Moutet (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5) | Moutet | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,306 | $989 | 13/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5) | Humbert | 57.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,160 | $1,590 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderi | Hubert Hurkacz | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$791 | $1,160 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges | Andrey Rublev | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$644 | $1,250 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Gael Monfils | 56.9¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $47 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Tallon Griekspoor | 56.6¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| Cilic vs. Shevchenko: Match O/U 22.5 | Over | 54.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,184 | $1,200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) | Rublev | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,146 | $1,156 | 13/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena | Facundo Mena | 56.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,184 | $1,200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Vacherot (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) | Vacherot | 49.2¢ | 0¢ | $-998 | $1,010 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka | Stan Wawrinka | 49.1¢ | 0¢ | $-985 | $1,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5) | Griekspoor | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | $-987 | $1,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Machac (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) | Machac | 59.8¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paul | Tommy Paul | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$471 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 | Under | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-984 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 54.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5,020 | $5,950 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,108 | $1,249 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) | Angers SCO | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$693 | $1,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $2,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-11? | No | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2,662 | $3,314 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 60.2¢ | 0¢ | $-6,235 | $6,310 | 11/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | Jan-Lennard Struff | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,184 | $1,200 | 11/04/2026 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score | No | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,240 | $1,240 | 11/04/2026 |
| Vissel Kōbe vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5 | Under | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe | Frances Tiafoe | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,104 | $1,593 | 10/04/2026 |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | Learner Tien | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | $-3,029 | $3,066 | 10/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Under | 38.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,098 | $697 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | No | 50.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,970 | $2,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Up | 69.6¢ | 0¢ | $-489 | $500 | 07/04/2026 |