Win rate
62.8%
201 W / 119 L
Total PnL
$1,770
realized $-6,284 · unrealized $8,054
Portfolio
$8,054
volume $398,189
Predictions
610
7.1/day · avg $653
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 70% +$3,148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$2,023 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$1,436 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 78¢ | 92¢ | $-13 | loss |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-583 | loss |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Crypto 75% +$391
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 10? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET | Up | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
Culture 100% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Elections 67% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Sports 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Tech 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
Politics 67% $-217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| War Powers resolution passes the Senate? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
Economy 67% $-499
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-517 | loss |
Other 44% $-832
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 26¢ | 30¢ | $-182 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-548 | loss |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 67¢ | 2¢ | +$289 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw? | No | 100¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Weather 63% $-6,228
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19? | Yes | 40¢ | 36¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 19? | Yes | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 19? | No | 84¢ | 82¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 19? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 19? | No | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 19? | Yes | 37¢ | 34¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 19? | No | 83¢ | 78¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 19? | Yes | 25¢ | 20¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 19? | No | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$76 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 18? | No | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $370 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 18? | No | 78.7¢ | 0¢ | $-195 | $197 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18? | No | 69.9¢ | 99¢ | +$40 | $95 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 36.1¢ | 0¢ | $-494 | $508 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | No | 82.2¢ | 0¢ | $-829 | $837 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17? | No | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $800 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | No | 83.2¢ | 0¢ | $-662 | $667 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 40.1¢ | 0¢ | $-286 | $294 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17? | No | 81.6¢ | 0¢ | $-481 | $486 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 23.8¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $92 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $71 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 27.7¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | Yes | 54.3¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | $168 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | $-548 | $7,848 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-583 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 30? | No | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $287 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 30? | No | 71.5¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $291 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 30? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28? | Yes | 43.8¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $103 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 28? | Yes | 37.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $47 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28? | Yes | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $99 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 28? | Yes | 43.1¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $34 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 28? | Yes | 40.8¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $30 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28? | No | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $136 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 28? | Yes | 38.8¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $22 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 28? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $81 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 28? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $93 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on March 28? | Yes | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 28? | Yes | 35.7¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28? | No | 77.6¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on March 28? | No | 78.3¢ | 0¢ | $-161 | $161 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28? | No | 80.9¢ | 0¢ | $-195 | $195 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 27? | Yes | 35.1¢ | 100¢ | +$441 | $239 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27? | No | 59.1¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | $434 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 27? | No | 70.6¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $371 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 27? | Yes | 24.9¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $35 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 27? | No | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $155 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 27? | No | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $250 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 27? | No | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $304 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $144 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on March 27? | No | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $197 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27? | No | 69.6¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $93 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27? | Yes | 54.2¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $48 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 27? | Yes | 49.5¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $38 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 27? | No | 72.8¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $85 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 27? | No | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $96 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 27? | Yes | 40.7¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27? | No | 80.5¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 27/03/2026 |