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0x09d2808f2bb35f98CEE9D106997b5F04A910A3aC-1758807239307
0x09d2808f2bb35f98cee9d106997b5f04a910a3ac · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
57.1%
20 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-1
realized $-595 · unrealized $594
Portfolio
$594
volume $29,867
Predictions
103
1.8/day · avg $290
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 67% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Other 75% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Elections 67% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Sports 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-3 | loss |
Geopolitics 54% $-142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 44¢ | 30¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | No | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
Recent Trades (35)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $21 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $22 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? | Yes | 64.5¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $39 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting? | No | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $87 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | Yes | 14.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $22 | 18/01/2026 |
| Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $1,680 | 07/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $154 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 7¢ | +$8 | $32 | 31/12/2025 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $169 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | 68.4¢ | 0¢ | $-329 | $829 | 31/12/2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15? | No | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $1,109 | 15/12/2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-136 | $585 | 15/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $48 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31? | No | 66.6¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $23 | 15/10/2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $500 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $200 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 40.5¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $25 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $26 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | 94¢ | +$27 | $152 | 16/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $58 | 31/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 89.9¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | $182 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $62 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 2¢ | $-3 | $21 | 20/07/2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 10¢ | $-5 | $34 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 44.1¢ | 30¢ | $-14 | $46 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31? | No | 79.1¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $452 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30? | No | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $452 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $161 | 31/12/2026 |