Win rate
64.3%
27 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$304
realized $-243 · unrealized $548
Portfolio
$548
volume $12,902
Predictions
65
0.2/day · avg $198
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 92% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 29% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 17% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Recent Trades (42)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $513 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $543 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $422 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $357 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $126 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $131 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $540 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $304 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $383 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $239 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $509 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $358 | 28/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $115 | 28/01/2026 |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $455 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $180 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $130 | 31/12/2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $192 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $251 | 19/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 36.2¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | $177 | 10/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $147 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $145 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $180 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $144 | 31/10/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $152 | 29/10/2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $180 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $183 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $357 | 30/09/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $155 | 17/09/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $44 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $316 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $155 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $171 | 24/06/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $137 | 18/06/2025 |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $176 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 02/03/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $548 | 21/04/2026 |