Win rate
98.0%
2338 W / 49 L
Total PnL
$2,738
realized $-2,956 · unrealized $5,694
Portfolio
$5,694
volume $840,843
Predictions
3,062
26.0/day · avg $275
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 98% +$2,505
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 20? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on April 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $229 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 18? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $152 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $162 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $154 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on April 18? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $87 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $128 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $151 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $208 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 18? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $84 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 18? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $168 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $89 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $109 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $84 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $194 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 18? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $119 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $72 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C or higher on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $123 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $152 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on April 18? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 18? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $94 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $82 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $70 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $350 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $354 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $396 | 17/04/2026 |