Win rate
86.8%
59 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$1,089
realized $20 · unrealized $1,069
Portfolio
$1,069
volume $111,712
Predictions
201
4.9/day · avg $556
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 79% +$272
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 53¢ | 59¢ | +$122 | win |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 68¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 27¢ | 29¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 17¢ | 25¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 60¢ | 80¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | 58¢ | 77¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | Yes | 43¢ | 40¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 84% +$203
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 83¢ | 79¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? | Yes | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | Yes | 13¢ | 38¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | Yes | 43¢ | 76¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | Yes | 65¢ | 86¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? | Yes | 24¢ | 39¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Yes | 49¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 100% +$177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 29¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the winner of the Czechia/Denmark/North Macedonia/Republic of Ireland playoff win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 10¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the winner of the Kosovo/Romania/Slovakia/Türkiye playoff win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 27¢ | 40¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 90% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 15¢ | +$7 | win |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 62¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2025 MLS Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 51¢ | 82¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | 42.9¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $131 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $59 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $81 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Robert Peters be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $72 | 17/03/2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 57.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $160 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $157 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $95 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $22 | 06/12/2025 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2025 MLS Cup? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $63 | 06/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $65 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $26 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $24 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $188 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $36 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | Yes | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $689 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $51 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | Yes | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $38 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | No | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $22 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | Yes | 26.5¢ | 24¢ | $-1 | $49 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 60¢ | +$6 | $73 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 40¢ | $-3 | $151 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | No | 81.0¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | $32 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.6¢ | 5¢ | +$7 | $64 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | Yes | 28.8¢ | 24¢ | $-9 | $102 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | 58.4¢ | 77¢ | +$38 | $186 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 59.6¢ | 80¢ | +$6 | $65 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 25¢ | +$17 | $50 | 09/06/2026 |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 31¢ | +$3 | $24 | 23/06/2026 |
| Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | Yes | 63.8¢ | 76¢ | +$10 | $69 | 23/06/2026 |
| Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? | No | 92.6¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $66 | 23/06/2026 |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 26¢ | +$13 | $28 | 27/06/2026 |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 29¢ | +$10 | $42 | 27/06/2026 |
| Will the winner of the Czechia/Denmark/North Macedonia/Republic of Ireland playoff win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 24¢ | +$8 | $41 | 27/06/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 10¢ | +$7 | $21 | 27/06/2026 |
| Will the winner of the Kosovo/Romania/Slovakia/Türkiye playoff win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 26.8¢ | 40¢ | +$6 | $25 | 27/06/2026 |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.2¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | $72 | 27/06/2026 |
| Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado? | Yes | 17.4¢ | 11¢ | $-58 | $211 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | 50.1¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $40 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 90.5¢ | 92¢ | +$22 | $387 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | Yes | 38.6¢ | 37¢ | $-1 | $46 | 04/08/2026 |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 31¢ | +$0 | $42 | 04/08/2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Yes | 24.6¢ | 42¢ | +$28 | $88 | 04/08/2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 10¢ | +$1 | $20 | 04/08/2026 |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | $29 | 04/08/2026 |
| Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? | Yes | 23.9¢ | 39¢ | +$12 | $35 | 06/08/2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 29¢ | +$14 | $48 | 11/08/2026 |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | Yes | 43.2¢ | 76¢ | +$21 | $46 | 11/08/2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? | Yes | 65.2¢ | 86¢ | +$9 | $39 | 11/08/2026 |
| Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 38¢ | +$31 | $65 | 18/08/2026 |