wavesinthesky

Geopolitics 88% +$1,197 $4,845 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	35¢	76¢	$-0	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	33¢	70¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	27¢	18¢	$-2	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	63¢	95¢	+$1	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$14	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10¢	8¢	$-4	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	22¢	72¢	+$103	win
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	27¢	12¢	+$9	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	21¢	22¢	+$1	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 65% +$326 $1,230 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$113	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	23¢	0¢	$-39	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	31¢	0¢	$-26	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	38¢	100¢	+$25	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?	Up	55¢	100¢	+$7	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?	Down	15¢	0¢	$-29	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Up	5¢	100¢	+$107	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Down	78¢	0¢	+$12	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?	Down	72¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Up	63¢	100¢	+$25	win

Tech 43% +$131 $1,000 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-3	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	23¢	22¢	$-2	loss
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	31¢	30¢	$-1	loss
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	25¢	22¢	$-4	loss
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	11¢	8¢	$-10	loss
Will Google reach $335 in April?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Meta reach $680 in April?	Yes	19¢	84¢	+$45	win
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	6¢	4¢	$-15	loss
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	9¢	5¢	$-21	loss

Other 54% +$54 $1,023 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	35¢	44¢	$-1	loss
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	79¢	50¢	+$0	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	50¢	74¢	+$14	win
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-10	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?	Yes	12¢	9¢	$-6	loss
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	3¢	9¢	+$59	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	34¢	38¢	+$2	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	51¢	72¢	+$2	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	21¢	3¢	$-20	loss

Politics 0% $-0 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24¢	28¢	$-0	loss

Elections 60% $-47 $375 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$1	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	Yes	35¢	88¢	+$115	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	No	14¢	13¢	$-9	loss
Will JD Vance say "Election" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$29	win

Crypto 42% $-744 $2,596 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	58¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	57¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	90¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	54¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	25¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	33¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	50¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	29¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	24¢	0¢	$-45	loss