Win rate
70.1%
68 W / 29 L
Total PnL
$-364
realized $-1,317 · unrealized $953
Portfolio
$953
volume $93,395
Predictions
167
3.2/day · avg $559
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 72% +$1,259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? | Leadership Change | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 44¢ | 31¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 23¢ | 4¢ | $-208 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-308 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 19¢ | 4¢ | $-78 | loss |
Weather 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 45¢ | 60¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 0% $-129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 62¢ | 50¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during Greek Independence Day event? | Yes | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Tech 0% $-150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
Other 71% $-505
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs San-Hui Shin | Sergey Fomin | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo | Francisco Cerundolo | 40¢ | 2¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Iryna Shymanovich vs Tatjana Maria | Tatjana Maria | 71¢ | 96¢ | +$25 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev | Andrey Rublev | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Hugo Dellien | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan | Alex Molcan | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrez | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-620 | loss |
| Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Maximo Zeitune | Hugo Dellien | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | Fabian Marozsan | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
Sports 72% $-1,258
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 66¢ | 64¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Elina Svitolina | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez | Zeynep Sonmez | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens | Elise Mertens | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-402 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Kansas City Royals | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-888 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomova | Viktoriya Tomova | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Texas Rangers | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CSD Xelajú MC win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 45.1¢ | 60¢ | +$16 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 96.5¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $103 | 17/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $1,277 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $450 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $204 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kings | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $300 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $150 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $170 | 13/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK end in a draw? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $160 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Heat | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $350 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $421 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $570 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FC København win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $300 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $40 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Heat | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $60 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 76.3¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 10/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Magic | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $27 | 08/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Cavaliers | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $363 | 07/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Magic | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $300 | 06/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Hawks | 69.6¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 06/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Hornets | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026? | Yes | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | +$349 | $1,510 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $1,851 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $1,889 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $64 | 31/03/2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? | Yes | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $350 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during Greek Independence Day event? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 26/03/2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 27.6¢ | 16¢ | $-35 | $80 | 14/03/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $350 | 18/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Texas Rangers | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $40 | 19/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $45 | 19/04/2026 |