OnlyInGodWeTrust

Geopolitics 65% +$7,036 $41,574 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	52¢	32¢	$-5	loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	59¢	67¢	+$168	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$105	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	13¢	6¢	$-34	loss
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	65¢	18¢	$-94	loss
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	26¢	18¢	+$21	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	67¢	+$13	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	No	9¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$290	win
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 100% +$71 $361 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	42¢	44¢	+$6	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$65	win

Sports 100% +$37 $88 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$14	win
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	69¢	100¢	+$23	win

Mentions 33% $-44 $314 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	13¢	5¢	$-14	loss
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	No	49¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$104	win

Other 53% $-59 $2,740 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	35¢	40¢	+$5	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	8¢	7¢	$-10	loss
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	37¢	20¢	+$1	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	72¢	74¢	$-22	loss
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	85¢	100¢	+$43	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	32¢	56¢	+$3	win
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	26¢	4¢	$-27	loss
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	22¢	9¢	$-77	loss
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	65¢	64¢	$-4	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Politics 58% $-86 $4,182 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	36¢	36¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-147	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	90¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	69¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?	No	7¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Kentucky visit?	No	84¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Ohio visit?	No	92¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Kentucky visit?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-11	loss

Esports 17% $-663 $797 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs DashSkins (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group D	RED Canids	77¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	PARIVISION	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B	Team Falcons	75¢	50¢	$-25	loss
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B	Tricked	90¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group D	OG	68¢	0¢	$-272	loss
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B	BASEMENT BOYS	75¢	0¢	$-300	loss

Crypto 54% $-2,320 $9,568 vol · 119 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	31¢	100¢	+$80	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	63¢	100¢	+$47	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	88¢	100¢	+$37	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	70¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	54¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	75¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	52¢	100¢	+$19	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	58¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	68¢	0¢	$-34	loss