Spectrum

Other 70% +$1,642 $91,380 vol · 583 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	41¢	36¢	$-18	loss
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	No	19¢	15¢	$-16	loss
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	43¢	34¢	+$0	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	56¢	66¢	$-2	loss
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	71¢	72¢	+$0	win
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	27¢	28¢	+$0	win
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	89¢	95¢	+$11	win
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	5¢	2¢	+$3	win
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	No	75¢	97¢	+$5	win
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	52¢	31¢	+$36	win

Elections 66% +$976 $30,887 vol · 177 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	97¢	87¢	$-2	loss
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	23¢	12¢	+$6	win
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	69¢	81¢	+$12	win
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	13¢	19¢	+$22	win
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	85¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	92¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	51¢	44¢	+$6	win
Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	84¢	96¢	+$6	win
Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	No	82¢	88¢	+$24	win
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	77¢	89¢	+$26	win

Sports 77% +$734 $68,136 vol · 428 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	92¢	93¢	$-4	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	25¢	46¢	+$20	win
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Michael Porter Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	55¢	12¢	+$2	win
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	53¢	88¢	+$116	win
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	50¢	93¢	+$42	win
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?	No	91¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	No	61¢	96¢	$-25	loss

Crypto 96% +$593 $5,456 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	97¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Ethan Hawke win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	93¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will "Something Beautiful - Miley Cyrus" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Gwyneth Paltrow (Marty Supreme) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win

Esports 72% +$421 $3,291 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?	No	88¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will G2 Esports win the 2025 Rainbow 6 Siege World Cup?	No	79¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$102	win
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?	No	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?	No	88¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$167	win
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?	No	53¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Team Heretics win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?	No	64¢	0¢	$-158	loss

Tech 66% +$311 $8,298 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Night Terror - Dream Theater" win Best Metal Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	85¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	74¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	No	81¢	100¢	+$92	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	No	57¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	66¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	No	80¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Politics 76% +$271 $39,400 vol · 243 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	89¢	98¢	+$43	win
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	73¢	83¢	+$41	win
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	11¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Will George Washington Markert be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	86¢	98¢	+$16	win
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	79¢	90¢	+$7	win
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	72¢	75¢	+$9	win
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	77¢	60¢	+$4	win
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	33¢	24¢	+$1	win
Will Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?	Yes	14¢	11¢	$-7	loss
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	37¢	8¢	$-84	loss

Culture 81% +$77 $50,620 vol · 451 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	46¢	38¢	$-1	loss
Will Reina Ueda as Reze (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	85¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	71¢	62¢	+$1	win
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	77¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Madagascar" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trey Kaufman-Renn win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$56	win

Finance 50% $-19 $452 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$7	win
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Geopolitics 57% $-79 $2,429 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	No	95¢	98¢	+$7	win
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	11¢	3¢	$-7	loss
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	10¢	6¢	$-18	loss
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 18?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Allison Janney (The Diplomat) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will The Diplomat win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Economy 50% $-324 $2,558 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	93¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	39¢	6¢	+$2	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	18¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?	No	81¢	100¢	+$1	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	No	11¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	No	64¢	100¢	+$16	win
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?	No	15¢	0¢	$-154	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	25¢	100¢	+$34	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Weather 20% $-344 $637 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	No	32¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	No	21¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	No	89¢	100¢	+$20	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Portland Timbers beat San Jose Earthquakes?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-135	loss