Win rate
91.1%
175 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$-3,364
realized $-4,226 · unrealized $862
Portfolio
$862
volume $524,481
Predictions
224
2.5/day · avg $2,341
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 91% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Economy 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Tech 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Sports 38% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Elections 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by October 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 93% $-3,631
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $1,046 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 88.4¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $530 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 75.4¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $452 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $355 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $83 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $988 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $483 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $190 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $498 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $112 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $2,056 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $874 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,139 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $459 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $148 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $42 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 69.6¢ | 100¢ | +$207 | $696 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $534 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $856 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $1,840 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $290 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $180 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $97 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $919 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,978 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $886 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $370 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $122 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $165 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $1,727 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,791 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $183 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $555 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $989 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $489 | 20/03/2026 |