MoulagaUchiwa

Elections 67% $-1 $1,013 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	92¢	92¢	+$1	win
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%?	Yes	94¢	93¢	$-8	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	82¢	83¢	+$6	win

Sports 0% $-33 $1,266 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	16¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 67% $-37 $286 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	84¢	92¢	+$13	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	79¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	0¢	0¢	$-71	loss

Other 0% $-121 $347 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	48¢	28¢	$-121	loss

Crypto 50% $-149 $389 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	92¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	53¢	100¢	+$25	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	20¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	43¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	29¢	0¢	$-68	loss