Win rate
50.5%
51 W / 50 L
Total PnL
$-1,770
realized $-4,320 · unrealized $2,550
Portfolio
$2,550
volume $685,358
Predictions
61
3.2/day · avg $11,235
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 56% +$88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 41¢ | 40¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 22¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 54¢ | 58¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 58¢ | 58¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
Politics 60% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 42¢ | 39¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5¢ | 7¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 31¢ | 40¢ | $-42 | loss |
Culture 75% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
Sports 43% $-121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 37¢ | 46¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 61¢ | 55¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Tech 50% $-152
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 79¢ | $-161 | loss |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$9 | win |
Geopolitics 67% $-214
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$6 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | loss |
Economy 0% $-254
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | loss |
Other 38% $-1,160
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$41 | win |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 81¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 40¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 43¢ | 55¢ | $-3 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $1,356 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 65.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,063 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 60.1¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $5,955 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $3,444 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $162 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $243 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $104 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $128 | 23/03/2026 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5) | Connecticut Huskies | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $856 | 23/03/2026 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5) | UCLA Bruins | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $480 | 23/03/2026 |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5) | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53.5¢ | 0¢ | $-286 | $423 | 22/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | $750 | 22/03/2026 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | UCLA Bruins | 38.8¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $485 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $2,707 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | $173 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $5,821 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $629 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 33.1¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $1,317 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 24.9¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $726 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $810 | 22/02/2026 |
| Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds | Under | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $142 | 08/02/2026 |
| Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds | Over | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $262 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 20.7¢ | 20¢ | $-19 | $962 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 80¢ | $-6 | $170 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 59.0¢ | 60¢ | +$6 | $354 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 40¢ | $-42 | $315 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 33.5¢ | 10¢ | +$3 | $229 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 35¢ | $-6 | $152 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 56.9¢ | 65¢ | +$2 | $71 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 61.5¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | $246 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 55.0¢ | 64¢ | $-8 | $220 | 21/06/2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 36¢ | $-0 | $100 | 21/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | $228 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $224 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 61.0¢ | 55¢ | +$6 | $610 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 46¢ | +$2 | $74 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 56.2¢ | 58¢ | $-14 | $525 | 13/09/2026 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 67.6¢ | 62¢ | $-21 | $608 | 13/09/2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 41.0¢ | 42¢ | $-33 | $337 | 13/09/2026 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 38¢ | $-18 | $119 | 13/09/2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 32.0¢ | 36¢ | $-8 | $312 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67.2¢ | 64¢ | +$12 | $1,108 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $566 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 39.6¢ | 41¢ | +$8 | $6,901 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 59.7¢ | 59¢ | $-23 | $6,195 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 56.3¢ | 60¢ | +$20 | $2,004 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 40¢ | +$2 | $789 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $4,355 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 41.7¢ | 42¢ | $-7 | $386 | 30/11/2026 |